Arnaud Sergent, partner, Serge Hovsepian, partner, and Jean-Guillaume Bayada, principal at L.E.K. Consulting, look at the rapid consolidation in France’s private healthcare market and where opportunities still exist.
French private healthcare services markets have experienced a profound transformation in
the past few years, driven by volume growth, regulatory pressure and increased investment needs. This has led to a fundamental reshaping of the competitive environment.
Consolidation by major private players has played a significant part, as they have expanded their geographical footprints and optimised costs. M&A activity has been particularly strong across four key segments: private hospitals, nursing homes, medical testing laboratories and home care providers.
Investors have shown keen interest in these markets and consolidation is well-advanced, but value-creation opportunities still exist in the next stage of deal-making and in optimising consolidators’ enlarged businesses. L.E.K. Consulting reviews the trend toward consolidation across these four markets, the drivers of change and the outlook across
Major consolidation over the past few years
Private hospitals covering medicine, surgery and obstetrics services have a long track record of consolidation in pursuit of economies of scale and to build leading positions locally to optimise patient recruitment and relationships with liberal physicians.
In 2018, the top four medicine, surgery and obstetrics (MSO) groups owned around 60% of private hospital beds and seats in France, compared with 48% in 2014 [see Figure One].
Recent takeovers include Ramsay/Générale de Santé’s acquisition of Capio and Almaviva’s acquisition of Medifuture, both of which took place toward the end of last year.
In the elderly care market, consolidation has primarily been led by nursing home groups – EHPAD: Etablissements d’Hébergement pour Personnes Agées Dépendantes – acquiring smaller independents to build scale. As a result, the top three players now account for 40% of private beds in the sector, and the top 15 players for 60% [see Figure Two].
IS EXPECTED TO
OF SCALE, PRICE
M&A in the medical testing laboratory sector accelerated following regulatory change in the early 2010s, which introduced the hub-and-spoke model separating sample collection sites and analytical platforms, and also made the accreditation of French labs compulsory. The strong economies of scale resulting from consolidation and the significant financial and administrative costs of accreditation compliance for small laboratories triggered the takeover of smaller players. The trend has continued, and the share of the top five players reached 55% of the market value last year [see Figure Three].
The private home care services market – PSAD: Prestataires de Santé à Domicile – has also undergone considerable change over the past decade; the market share of the four largest companies increased from 37% in 2002 to 62% in 2016 [see Figure Four].
Future deal flow
The trend toward consolidation is expected to continue, driven by economies of scale, further price pressures and the capital investment needed for geographic or service expansion. Optimisation resulting from M&A activity – as well as constant productivity improvement in most of those sectors – has historically enabled larger players to offset the negative impact of constant price pressure imposed by the regulator.
All four segments have had relatively parallel consolidation cycles to date, but rates are now likely to differ. Both laboratories and the home care services sector can expect to see the same level of M&A activity, but the pace of consolidation in private hospital and nursing home markets is likely to slow.
In laboratories, small and mid-sized independent groups still account for almost half of the sector’s value. And despite current regulatory limitations to the market share of a single player in a given local market (Territoire de Santé), there is still considerable room for rationalisation; laboratories are equipment-intensive businesses and can generate significant cost savings by centralising equipment on one technical platform.
The homecare services market is still fragmented, with many small private for-profit and non-profit players holding less than 1%-2% of market share.
This is particularly true of the perfusion and nutrition segments. Key gains can be made by optimising agencies’ size and logistics, and by generating economies of scale in procurement and shared services, such as IT.
The rate of takeovers is set to gradually slow in the private hospital sector, with the bulk of small and mid-sized acquisitions in the regions targeted by leading groups now complete – more than 60% of French private hospital capacity is owned by the four leading groups and
half by the two national groups. Apart from the Île-de-France region, where the bulk of consolidation is still to come, core opportunities now lie in integrating the larger and more complex businesses, some of which are regional groups, to generate savings through purchasing volume scale, patient referral optimisation and shared services.
Consolidation in nursing homes has also led to the emergence of a handful of large groups, which are now focused on operational integration.
Consolidation of independents is expected to be led by mid-size players (running 30-100 EHPADs) and is likely to happen between them as the largest groups focus on internationalisation and consolidating foreign markets.
Post-consolidation, opportunity is plentiful for businesses to make further gains in each of the four sectors.
In nursing homes, recent tariff convergence between public and private players and the implementation of multi-year objectives and resources contracts – CPOMs: Contrat Pluriannuel d’Objectifs et de Moyens – present favourable opportunities among for-profit
As new dependence and care allowance schemes enable optimisation and raise national quality, requirements should be more easily met by larger and more professionalised players.
Nursing homes also have the opportunity to further develop their elderly care service offerings by opening rehabilitation centres, assisted living facilities, shared apartments and home nursing services – SAAD: Services d’Aide et d’Accompagnement à Domicile – and offering a continuum of care.
Homecare service providers must find a way to evolve in an increasingly constrained environment (for example the implementation of tele-monitoring, constraints on medical representative initiatives) with significant pressure on social security reimbursements. One avenue for growth is to extend the scope of medical equipment delivered, such as home dialysis equipment.
Another strategy is to explore the integration of comprehensive home services for patients, including medical equipment, home nursing and tele-monitoring.
Opportunities for private hospitals include optimising collaboration with public operators locally and extending care before and after the acute episode they are currently addressing.
Early movers are likely to benefit from the ongoing reform of Ma Santé 2022.
Beyond further consolidation, medical testing laboratories have the opportunity to develop their businesses internationally, generate additional procurement savings and benefit from further regulatory liberalisation that could unlock additional value from existing assets
(through softening the obligation to maintain the presence of one biologist per collection site).
Next steps for investors
Investors already involved in French private healthcare markets, or those considering taking a position, should carefully review the dynamics that are driving the next phase of consolidation and the post-deal growth environment. They will need a detailed understanding of the pricing challenges and regulation surrounding each segment and the
options available to dealmakers.
For those that get it right, there are significant long-term investment opportunities ahead.